The Camel’s Nose

The Camel’s Nose

Artificial Intelligence, or AI as it is called, is all the rage these days.  I agree with those who say it may be the biggest technological advancement of our lives, transformative in the way electrification was 125 years ago or the advent of computers in the mid-20th...
Thoughts on Inflation, Interest Rates, and Regional Banks

Thoughts on Inflation, Interest Rates, and Regional Banks

Make Money with Postage!  Talk about inflation!  The U.S. Postal Service’s proposed new price for first class stamps starting in July is 73 cents. That’s up 8% from the stamp’s current price of 68 cents and 32% more than the 2020 price of 55 cents.   If you want to...
Are We in a Stock Market Bubble?

Are We in a Stock Market Bubble?

Ray Dalio is a hedge fund manager that I really appreciate for his Zen-like ability to cut through the noise of the marketplace and make his decision making so clear.  The following are excerpts from his recent paper on how he determines if we are in a stock market...
The Market from 30,000 Feet

The Market from 30,000 Feet

I’m sure you’ve noticed how different the countryside looks when flying over it in an airplane, so we are going to take a look at the financial markets from a similar perspective to see what we can glean. This first chart shows the S&P 500 Index over past 30...
A Peek into the Future

A Peek into the Future

My usual January comment is that I don’t like to make predictions about the financial markets. Psychologically, one tends to get anchored to a prediction they make, and if the markets behave differently, that anchor becomes a pull toward making poor investment...
A Goldilocks Market

A Goldilocks Market

There are many positives in the stock markets right now. The third year of the presidential election cycle, which is normally the strongest of the four years between elections, delivered good returns as expected. We are in the colder months of the year which are often...