Contrary to market norms and general expectations, September has been surprisingly quiet, with no signs of market volatility. As of this writing (9/24/25), we’re halfway through what is typically the worst week of the entire year, but we’re only seeing very mild...
We were expecting volatility to pick up in August, but that hasn’t really happened. After a quick drop at the end of July, most broad indexes marched higher – at least until the middle of the month. After that, I think the market took a vacation and largely went...
This slow grind higher continues! July tends to be a strong month for the US Indexes according to seasonality, and it did grind higher, just not very quickly. But looking at seasonality, August is where things could get interesting. Or at the very least, more...
Much like in May, we saw the market hit a peak right at the midpoint of the month and then drift lower for a bit. But this time, it looks like the US Large Cap indexes are trying to continue their move higher. Seasonality also suggests that July tends to be a positive...
The first half of May felt like a solid continuation of the rally that started in the 2nd half of April (after the messy, tariff-driven market madness). However, since mid-May several US market indexes are slightly negative. So the rally is starting to show...
The month of April brought continued volatility, largely driven by headlines – so much so that the fundamental and technical views of the market didn’t provide much helpful guidance. And while there is a lot of debate as to how the current economic situation (mostly...
The month of March gave us something we haven’t seen since 2022 – a 10% pullback in the S&P 500. And while that can feel pretty brutal while it is happening, we’ve seen it recover about half of that drop already. The question now is: Can the market return to new...
The market volatility continues! After a positive January that recovered December losses, we’re now seeing another market pull-back that has the S&P 500 Index back below even for the month of February. But so far, this is all just in-line with what typical...
The new year is off to a volatile start. It's not exactly bad, but it's not that great either. If you look at January by itself, the market looks strong. But if you look at it next to December or even back to November, the S&P 500 hasn’t made much progress...
2024 has been a surprisingly mixed year. While the main US indexes (the S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100) showed solid performance, most diversification beyond these two indexes did little to help portfolios. The US Small Cap, International, and Emerging Markets Indexes all...
Here we are, in the final stretch of 2024. And with both the US election and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions (mostly) behind us, we should now be able to finish the year on a positive note. Historically, we are now in the best 3 months for the stock...
Usually, this time of year is much more volatile than what we’ve seen so far. And quite often September and October are the months that have the biggest market drawdowns or biggest sell-offs in any given year. But this year? Nope, this fall has been surprisingly...
