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Category: <span>Market Commentary</span>
Home Archive for category "Market Commentary"

Category: Market Commentary

April 2022 Market Commentary

April 2022 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary April 29, 2022 April 29, 2022

Market Volatility continues.  While the second half of March started to look like the stock market environment was improving, April came in and immediately changed that back to negative.  And for most of the month, the major stock (and surprisingly the bond) markets have really struggled. It has now been …

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March 2022 Market Commentary

March 2022 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary March 25, 2022 March 25, 2022

After an exceptionally rough start to 2022, the stock markets seem to be taking a short break from the ugliness we have continually seen until the past week.  That’s a lot of negative days and very few positive ones so far this year.  However, at the very least, this week …

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February 2022 Market Commentary

February 2022 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary February 24, 2022 February 25, 2022

When looking at possible issues the stock market could face in the first quarter of 2022, we never thought a Russian invasion of Ukraine would be on the list.  As usual, the biggest factors are the ones we can’t yet see or even perceive.  Interestingly, there also appeared to be …

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January 2022 Market Commentary

January 2022 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary January 28, 2022 January 28, 2022

Well, that got ugly fast.  The S&P 5001 is now in range to achieve the largest loss in January going back to 1928 (reuters.com).  The previous January with the largest loss was in 2009 when the market started its last leg down of the 2008 recession period.  Luckily for us, …

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December 2021 Market Commentary

December 2021 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary December 31, 2021 December 31, 2021

Wow, here we are wrapping up another year.  The S&P 5001 was surprisingly one of the stronger markets around the globe this year, even outpacing the NASDAQ (a rare occurrence in the past couple of decades).  On the other hand, traditional “diversifiers” like Bonds (both aggregate and US Treasuries) and …

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November 2021 Market Commentary

November 2021 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary November 26, 2021 November 26, 2021

Last month we were looking at how the odds favored a positive November in the S&P 500, and so far, it looks like that is what we’re going to get. While the strong upward momentum coming out of the late September market lows has slowed, it is our hope that …

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October 2021 Market Commentary

October 2021 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary October 28, 2021 October 28, 2021

So far so good in October, as we near the end of the historically “worst six months.”  Our expectation was for a positive month in the stock market and it looks like we will get it.  And while September closed near the low for the month, October has quickly recovered …

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September 2021 Market Commentary

September 2021 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary September 30, 2021 October 3, 2021

Historically, September has the highest odds of a negative stock market return out of all the months of the year.  And as if on cue, this year it is no different.  The S&P 5001 drifted lower at a fairly slow pace and then accelerated into the last half of the …

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August 2021 Market Commentary

August 2021 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary August 27, 2021 August 27, 2021

We’re starting to see an interesting shift in the market, and in the short-term things are looking “sub-optimal” (as a Doctor friend would say).  Our Long-Term trend indicator has been weakening and is now giving us a negative reading.  It tried to go positive this week on Wednesday, but failed …

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July 2021 Market Commentary

July 2021 Market Commentary
Ryan Redfern Market Commentary July 30, 2021 July 30, 2021

For most of this year so far, the market has lacked the breadth and broad participation usually behind a strong market trend (in either direction).  In January, we had a brief moment where Small Cap stocks were doing great, but that hasn’t gone anywhere since then.  What has driven the …

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