Market Volatility continues. While the second half of March started to look like the stock market environment was improving, April came in and immediately changed that back to negative. And for most of the month, the major stock (and surprisingly the bond)...
After an exceptionally rough start to 2022, the stock markets seem to be taking a short break from the ugliness we have continually seen until the past week. That’s a lot of negative days and very few positive ones so far this year. However, at the very...
When looking at possible issues the stock market could face in the first quarter of 2022, we never thought a Russian invasion of Ukraine would be on the list. As usual, the biggest factors are the ones we can’t yet see or even perceive. Interestingly,...
Well, that got ugly fast. The S&P 5001 is now in range to achieve the largest loss in January going back to 1928 (reuters.com). The previous January with the largest loss was in 2009 when the market started its last leg down of the 2008 recession...
Wow, here we are wrapping up another year. The S&P 5001 was surprisingly one of the stronger markets around the globe this year, even outpacing the NASDAQ (a rare occurrence in the past couple of decades). On the other hand, traditional “diversifiers”...
Last month we were looking at how the odds favored a positive November in the S&P 500, and so far, it looks like that is what we’re going to get. While the strong upward momentum coming out of the late September market lows has slowed, it is our hope that the...
So far so good in October, as we near the end of the historically “worst six months.” Our expectation was for a positive month in the stock market and it looks like we will get it. And while September closed near the low for the month, October has quickly...
Historically, September has the highest odds of a negative stock market return out of all the months of the year. And as if on cue, this year it is no different. The S&P 5001 drifted lower at a fairly slow pace and then accelerated into the last half...
We’re starting to see an interesting shift in the market, and in the short-term things are looking “sub-optimal” (as a Doctor friend would say). Our Long-Term trend indicator has been weakening and is now giving us a negative reading. It tried to go...
For most of this year so far, the market has lacked the breadth and broad participation usually behind a strong market trend (in either direction). In January, we had a brief moment where Small Cap stocks were doing great, but that hasn’t gone anywhere since...
Similar to earlier months this year, in June, the S&P5001 had peaked mid-month and then had a quick sell-off. Unlike other months, however, this month has largely bounced back and is as of this writing only slightly positive on the month. As of our...
Since the end of April, the S&P5001 has been in a tight range and as of this writing, it is sitting almost exactly where it was a month ago. However, there are several factors that are looking more positive than we’ve seen in a while – and it seems possible...
