Last month I mentioned how we noticed that the market has been peaking mid-month and then selling off into the end of the month.  This happened in January, February, and March this year.  While I didn’t intend that observation to also be a projection, it seems to have happened again …

I’m noticing a pattern in the market this year that has been challenging.  The first half of the month has been generally positive, and then toward the end of the month, the market proceeds to sell-off.  This is how January, February, and March have played out, and it’s made it …

February WAS looking to be pretty good for the S&P 5001, being up almost 6% at one point this month.  That is, until the last couple of days, when much like January, the market wanted to give back the gains.  As of today, we are looking at ending February in …

So far, 2021 isn’t having as much strength or conviction in the stock market as I would have thought or even hoped.  As of close yesterday, the S&P5001 is only slightly above break-even on the year at just under 1%.  And while the index started out relatively strong and was …

Well, there you have it.  Another trading year behind us that has been quite a ride.  The S&P 5001 looks like it will end the year up around 17.5% (FastTrack data).  That is incredibly surprising, given that the same index was down over -30% at one point back in March.  …

November appears to be getting back to normal for the stock market now that we’re past the election tension.  Volatility, measured by the VIX index, has been steadily falling back to the lows we saw in mid-August.  And the S&P 5001 has slowly risen back to, and just beyond, the …

So far October has turned out to be less than exciting in the markets.  While it started off with a rebound from the mild pull-back we saw in September (as was seasonally expected), over the past week it has really slowed down and now we’re looking at a possible negative …

It has been no surprise to see the stock market struggle in September.  Historically, this month has the highest odds of a loss.  And so far this month, the S&P 5001 has given back most of the gains it had made in 2020.  And as of September 24th, 2020, the …

August was a surprisingly good month for the S&P5001.  Our expectations were just hoping to remain positive, but the index is now positive slightly more than 10% so far in 2020.  Certainly not wAugust was a surprisingly good month for the S&P5001.  Our expectations were just hoping to remain positive, …

Last month we suggested the market rebound off the March lows was starting to run out of steam.  That does indeed still appear to be the case.  Even though July was an “up” month for the index, year-to-date, the S&P 5001 is still just barely above break-even at +1.72% as …