Historically, September has the highest odds of a negative stock market return out of all the months of the year.  And as if on cue, this year it is no different.  The S&P 5001 drifted lower at a fairly slow pace and then accelerated into the last half of the …

We’re starting to see an interesting shift in the market, and in the short-term things are looking “sub-optimal” (as a Doctor friend would say).  Our Long-Term trend indicator has been weakening and is now giving us a negative reading.  It tried to go positive this week on Wednesday, but failed …

For most of this year so far, the market has lacked the breadth and broad participation usually behind a strong market trend (in either direction).  In January, we had a brief moment where Small Cap stocks were doing great, but that hasn’t gone anywhere since then.  What has driven the …

Similar to earlier months this year, in June, the S&P5001 had peaked mid-month and then had a quick sell-off.  Unlike other months, however, this month has largely bounced back and is as of this writing only slightly positive on the month.  As of our last writing, we observed several factors …

Since the end of April, the S&P5001 has been in a tight range and as of this writing, it is sitting almost exactly where it was a month ago.  However, there are several factors that are looking more positive than we’ve seen in a while – and it seems possible …

Last month I mentioned how we noticed that the market has been peaking mid-month and then selling off into the end of the month.  This happened in January, February, and March this year.  While I didn’t intend that observation to also be a projection, it seems to have happened again …

I’m noticing a pattern in the market this year that has been challenging.  The first half of the month has been generally positive, and then toward the end of the month, the market proceeds to sell-off.  This is how January, February, and March have played out, and it’s made it …

February WAS looking to be pretty good for the S&P 5001, being up almost 6% at one point this month.  That is, until the last couple of days, when much like January, the market wanted to give back the gains.  As of today, we are looking at ending February in …

So far, 2021 isn’t having as much strength or conviction in the stock market as I would have thought or even hoped.  As of close yesterday, the S&P5001 is only slightly above break-even on the year at just under 1%.  And while the index started out relatively strong and was …

Well, there you have it.  Another trading year behind us that has been quite a ride.  The S&P 5001 looks like it will end the year up around 17.5% (FastTrack data).  That is incredibly surprising, given that the same index was down over -30% at one point back in March.  …